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Randstad/TNS OBOP: stagnant hiring plans amid rising uncertainty over economy


Twenty-four percent of companies in Poland plan to add new jobs during the six months to June 2011, according to a new wave of a tracker poll of 300 employers by Randstad and TNS OBOP. This is up from 23% three months earlier. However, the number of companies expecting to shed jobs over this period increased by four points to 14%, whereas the share of companies planning to maintain employment at current levels declined to 55% from 64%. At the same time, the percentage of firms planning to take on new temp workers almost doubled to 9% from 5% in August. According to Randstad, this suggests that employers’ concerns about the economic outlook have deepened during the past three months.

The sectors with the highest percentages of firms planning to increase employment are financial intermediation services (32%) and trade (31%). By contrast, 36% of firms in the transport, logistics and communication sector and 27% in the construction sector expect to cut jobs during the next six months. As before, the survey shows that employment prospects are brightest for production and sales workers.

Meanwhile, the number of companies expecting to increase wages over this period rose markedly, to 29% from 17%, an improvement that Randstad attributed partly to seasonal effects; although a clear majority (63%) still expect no change.

At the same time, employers’ views about the general economic situation became somewhat gloomier, with the percentage predicting the economy to slip into recession during the next six months almost doubling to 13% from 7%. The number of companies anticipating economic stagnation during the six months to June was 41%, down by five points. The share of those expecting the economy to grow during this period remained unchanged at 37%.

The latest survey also asked employers about their performance in 2010. Thus, 35% said their companies expanded this year, 39% described 2010 as a period of stagnation, while 20% admitted their firms experienced the effects of recession. This divergence of fortunes also showed in responses about headcount changes during the past six months, with 33% reporting they added jobs, 22% saying they trimmed staff levels, and 43% saying they kept staff levels intact.

The survey was conducted between 28 October and 15 November among companies employing 10 and more people.

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