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Manpower: flat hiring intentions for Q2


2013-03-12



Companies in Poland remain highly cautious about adding new jobs, with three in four expecting to hold staff numbers steady in the second quarter of 2013, according to the latest edition of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, an international quarterly study by the US employment services group.

The percentage of firms planning to take on new workers in the next quarter rose to 11% from 9% three months earlier, while the proportion planning job cuts decreased to 11% from 15%. As a result, the balance of employment expectations came to 0 points. However, when adjusted for seasonal effects, the figure is -2 points, a marginal decrease from -1 points in the previous survey and the lowest result since the study was first conducted in Poland in Q2 2008.

There are significant differences between sectors, though. According to seasonally-adjusted data, in five of the 10 industries covered by the study the hiring outlook is negative, led by mining-quarrying (-18 points) and energy, gas and water supply (-14 points). In hotels and restaurants the balance is -5 points, and in construction and manufacturing, -4 points.

In four other sectors the outlook is positive, led by transport, logistics and communication, as well as the public sector (+8 points in both cases), followed by retail and wholesale trade (+2 points) and finance, insurance, real estate and services (+1 point). In agriculture, forestry and fishing the outlook is flat.

Compared with the preceding quarter, sentiment deteriorated in four sectors, led by energy, gas and water supply, and hotels and restaurants (a drop of 9 points in both cases), followed by mining-quarrying, down by 8 p.p.). An improvement was noted in five industries, led by the public sector and transport, logistics and communication (up by 5 p.p. and 4 p.p., respectively).

On an annual basis the net outlook worsened in eight sectors, led by mining-quarrying (down by 25 p.p.) and hotels and restaurants (down by 20 p.p.). The construction sector also experienced a major drop, by 17 points.

Unadjusted for seasonal effects, the hiring outlook improved in seven sectors compared with three months earlier, but in comparison with the same period of 2012, it deteriorated in seven industries.

The survey was conducted between 17 and 29 January 2013 on a representative sample of 750 companies.



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