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Randstad/TNS OBOP: worse employment prospects


Fifteen percent companies in Poland plan to add new jobs during the next six months, according to a new wave of a tracker poll of 300 employers by Randstad and TNS OBOP. This is down nine points from three months earlier and the lowest figure in two years. At the same time, the proportion of firms planning to shed jobs over this period rose four points to 19%, pushing the balance of hiring/firing expectations into negative ground for the first time since the survey began. However, the vast majority still expect to keep staff levels unchanged (62%, up six). It should also be noted that the percentage planning to hire new workers is significantly higher among large companies employing over 250 people (24%). Small firms are particularly pessimistic (9% and a net balance of -11 points).

The outlook for hiring continues to vary considerably between sectors. The highest percentage of firms planning to hire new workers was found in transport, warehousing and communication (34%), but this sector also has the highest share of firms expecting to reduce headcount (52%). At the other extreme are “real estate and business services”, where all of the surveyed firms said they would keep staff levels unchanged. The manufacturing sector has a positive balance of +6 points (22% to 16%), whereas among construction firms not a single respondent said it expected to add jobs and 31% indicated plans to shed workers.

At the same time, there was a significant increase in the number of respondents expecting to raise wages in the next six months, which nearly doubled to 21% from 12%. Almost two in three see wages remaining at their current level over this period (65%, down five), with 8% anticipating decreases, unchanged from three months earlier.

Meanwhile, employers’ views about the general economic outlook further deteriorated, with the proportion of firms predicting the economy to grow during the next six months down to 8% from 11%. The number expecting it to slip into recession edged down, though, to 32% from 33%. Exactly one in two expect stagnation (up from 47%).

The survey was conducted between 30 October and 14 November 2012 among companies employing 10 and more people.

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